Template-type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Hamish Hobbs Author-Name: Dexter Docherty Author-Name: Luis Aranda Author-Name: Karine Perset Author-Name: Kasumi Sugimoto Author-Name: Rafal Kierzenkowski Author-Workplace-Name: OECD Title: Exploring possible AI trajectories through 2030 Abstract: The paper aims to improve understanding of how artificial intelligence (AI) is evolving and explores how AI innovation might advance – or slow down – by 2030. It presents four scenarios for possible AI trajectories by that year, providing a baseline for analysing future developments and their potential impacts. Keywords: AI, AI scenarios, artificial intelligence Creation-Date: 2026-02-03 Number: 55 Handle: RePEc:oec:comaaa:55-EN